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HOME2023-01-22T13:43:33-07:00

Damn, there is so much great knowledge out there. Did you know that “BOOKS” are full of smart?? No, I mean like life changing, I-wish-I-knew-that-years-ago type stuff.

I know that I was waaaayyy late to the game figuring it out. And I know that a lot of you are too busy to read as much as you ‘should’. And that is why you need me.

I still remember how it started for me. It started in June of 2008. After 11  years …..Click to continue

Mortgage Today (AM) - 05/28/26 {{catlist}}
May 28, 2026
READ MORE **WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (AM) - 05/28/2026** Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are pushing bonds around like a yo-yo, with Iran hostilities knocking mortgage-backed securities down over an eighth of a point this morning while the 10-year Treasury yield ticked up to 4.507%. Markets are caught between hope for a lasting peace deal and fear of oil-driven stagflation, creating a volatile backdrop where MBS prices swing on headlines rather than fundamentals. The Trump administration continues airstrikes while signaling a potential agreement may take several more days, keeping investors in a holding pattern. For originators, this geopolitical noise means lock-in conversations should emphasize rate protection now rather than waiting for clarity that may not come soon. Lenders watching their margins know that basis points lost to volatility don't come back. First-quarter GDP came in revised down to 1.6% from the advance estimate of 2.0%, falling short of the 2.0% consensus forecast and signaling economic momentum is cooling faster than expected. Personal consumption weakened to 1.4% from 1.6%, and the core PCE price index rose 4.4% quarterly—a meaningful miss on the inflation side that has the Federal Reserve increasingly concerned. This data snapshot shows an economy that is neither recession-bound nor firing on all cylinders, which removes near-term rate cut expectations and strengthens the "higher-for-longer" narrative gaining traction in fixed income markets. Mortgage originators should prepare borrowers for rates staying elevated through the second half of 2026. The Fed's preference for staying patient rather than aggressively tightening policy is now conditional on inflation data staying cooperative. Core inflation metrics arrived mixed this morning, with April core PCE rising 0.2% month-over-month and 3.3% year-over-year—both meeting expectations—while headline PCE climbed 3.8% year-over-year as expected. Energy price spikes tied to Middle East escalation are pushing oil above $97 a barrel and threatening to reignite inflation in non-energy sectors if the conflict drags on. April durable goods orders surged 7.9% month-over-month, well above the 3.5% forecast, showing consumers remain willing to spend despite price pressures. Jobless claims came in at 215,000 versus the 211,000 forecast, indicating labor market softening at the margins but no collapse. These cross-currents mean the Fed faces a tightrope walk: inflation may not be as tamed as hoped, yet growth is decelerating. Treasury bond auctions yesterday showed mixed demand, with the 5-year note auction yielding 4.18% and attracting bid-to-cover of 2.34x—in line with historical averages but unspectacular. Foreign buyers remained cautious, taking only 75% of the indirect allotment, while direct bidders pulled back sharply, forcing dealers to absorb more supply than usual. This weakness in auction demand suggests investors are still nervous about committing duration in an uncertain geopolitical environment, preferring to wait for a clearer picture before deploying capital. The real test comes today with the 7-year note auction and a $500 million TIPS buyback. For mortgage market liquidity, auction stress ripples quickly into MBS pricing and secondary market execution. Bond technical momentum has turned supportive, though the rally faces headwinds from persistent inflation concerns and a Federal Reserve now openly discussing the possibility of rate hikes by year-end rather than cuts. The 10-year Treasury yield retreated more than 20 basis points from last week's highs, helped by month-end fund repositioning and demand for duration, but absent a major economic deterioration or decisive de-escalation in the Middle East, the move may struggle to extend materially. Investors are watching Fed speakers closely—especially traditionally dovish members—to see if the committee is truly comfortable holding rates steady indefinitely or if the door to tightening is reopening. For loan officers, this means rate lock windows may not stay open much longer if inflation fears resurface. The message is simple: rates above 4.5% on the 10-year may not be available for much longer once peace headlines fade. The mortgage origination playbook is shifting as refinance volume dries up and lenders must squeeze every basis point from margins to stay profitable. Manual pricing engines and legacy loan-commit workflows are becoming cost anchors in a business where speed and precision determine survival, with some lenders capturing two to five incremental basis points by automating secondary market execution. Artificial intelligence is reshaping how lenders engage borrowers, raising new questions about whether technology enhances or replaces trust in the customer relationship. Lenders that can move pricing and execution into real-time automated workflows while maintaining borrower confidence are positioning themselves to thrive in a slower, lower-margin origination environment. For smaller lenders and brokers, this is a call to invest now in modern systems or risk being priced out of the market. **Locking vs Floating** Borrowers face continued elevated continued claims, mixed inflation signals, and geopolitical headline risk that is likely to keep rates volatile through month-end. The economic data shows growth cooling and inflation sticky, pushing the Federal Reserve closer to an extended pause or even future rate hikes, which removes any near-term rate decline scenario from the table. Lock decisions should prioritize certainty over waiting, especially as Middle East tensions could reignite oil-driven inflation at any moment. **Today's Events** Continued Claims (May 16): 1,786.0K vs. 1,780K forecast Core CapEx (April): -1.1% vs. 0.4% forecast Core PCE month-over-month (April): 0.2% vs. 0.3% forecast Core PCE year-over-year (April): 3.3% vs. 3.3% forecast (met expectations) Core PCE Prices Q1: 4.4% vs. 4.3% forecast Corporate Profits Q1: -0.4% vs. 5.7% forecast Durable Goods Orders (April): 7.9% vs. 3.5% forecast GDP Q1: 1.6% vs. 2.0% forecast (revised down) GDP Final Sales Q1: 1.5% vs. 1.6% forecast Jobless Claims (May 23): 215.0K vs. 211K forecast PCE year-over-year (April): 3.8% vs. 3.8% forecast (met expectations) PCE prices month-over-month (April): 0.4% vs. 0.5% forecast **Bond Pricing** **UMBS 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 98.01 | -0.03 | | 5.5 | 100.18 | -0.02 | | 6.0 | 101.91 | -0.01 | **GNMA 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | **GNMA 30 Year** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | |---:|---:|---:| | 5.0 | 98.55 | 0.04 | | 5.5 | 100.43 | 0.02 | | 6.0 | 101.82 | 0.03 | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | |---|---:|---:|---:| | 2 yr | 4.041 | 99.684 | 0.008 | | 3 yr | 4.091 | 98.348 | 0.007 | | 5 yr | 4.183 | 98.625 | 0.004 | | 7 yr | 4.318 | 99.592 | -0.007 | | 10 yr | 4.479 | 97.174 | -0.005 | | 30 yr | 5.003 | 96.085 | -0.01 | Subscribe free to Well That Makes Sense at WellThatMakesSense.com for daily mortgage market intelligence delivered to your inbox. Market Data
The Millionaire Real Estate Agent Who Never Sold a House (And What Alex Hormozi Taught Me About It) {{catlist}}
May 28, 2026
READ MORE my notes from Alex Hormozi on the Modern Wisdom Podcast.  You should check out the Modern Wisdom Podcast.  It's good stuff.

The Millionaire Real Estate Agent Who Never Sold a House (And What Alex Hormozi Taught Me About It)

Why your commission check doesn't prove you're building wealth—and the brutal truth about confusing income with assets

Blog post

Here's a fun party trick: walk into any real estate office in America and ask agents how much they made last year. You'll get numbers ranging from "I'd rather not say" to "$387,000, baby!" Now ask them what their net worth is. Watch the room go silent faster than a listing presentation when the seller asks about your marketing budget. Alex Hormozi dropped a truth bomb on the Modern Wisdom Podcast that should make every loan officer and agent in America spit out their overpriced coffee: "Most people confuse making money with keeping money. They're not the same skill set." He's built multiple eight-figure businesses, sold one for tens of millions, and now invests in companies through Acquisition.com. The guy knows a thing or two about the difference between looking rich and being rich. Let's get uncomfortable for a second. You closed fourteen deals last month? Fantastic. Your Instagram feed looks like a luxury car dealership? Cool. But if someone handed you a pink slip tomorrow and said "the market's done, go home," how long could you survive? For most of us in this business, the answer rhymes with "not very long" and tastes like panic. Hormozi explains it brilliantly: income is what you make, wealth is what you keep and multiply. In the mortgage and real estate world, we've created an entire culture around celebrating income while completely ignoring wealth building. We worship the top producer who drives a leased Range Rover and rents a fancy apartment. Meanwhile, the "boring" agent who drives a paid-off Camry and owns three rental properties gets zero respect at the office holiday party.

The Income Illusion That's Bankrupting Your Future

The mortgage industry practically invented the feast-or-famine lifestyle. You have a monster month, so you upgrade your lifestyle to match. New car lease, nicer apartment, bottle service on weekends, that Rolex you've been eyeing. Then the market shifts, rates jump, and suddenly you're scrambling to cover the lifestyle you built during the good times. Hormozi calls this "lifestyle creep," and it's the silent killer of wealth in commission-based businesses. Here's what makes this particularly brutal for real estate professionals: our income is visible, our wealth is not. Your clients see the nice car and assume you're crushing it. Your broker sees your production numbers and thinks you're set for life. Nobody sees that you have $847 in savings and a credit card balance that would make a bankruptcy attorney weep. Hormozi shared a framework on Modern Wisdom that should be tattooed on every real estate professional's forehead: "Spend less than you make, invest the difference, repeat until you're free." Sounds stupidly simple, right? Yet ninety percent of agents and loan officers fail at step one. They don't spend less than they make—they spend exactly what they make, sometimes more, because "I had a great month and I deserve this." The deserve mentality is financial poison. You deserve security. You deserve options. You deserve to not panic when the market shifts. You don't deserve a luxury car you can't actually afford just because you had one good quarter. Hormozi built his fortune by living significantly below his means even when he was making millions. While his competitors were buying boats, he was buying businesses.

The Asset Test That Reveals Everything

Want to know if you're actually building wealth? Hormozi offers a simple test: could you stop working today and maintain your lifestyle for at least a year? Not through credit cards or loans, but through actual assets you've accumulated. For most real estate professionals, the answer is a hard no. That's not an income problem—you're making good money. That's a wealth problem. The distinction matters enormously in our industry because real estate and mortgage are inherently unstable income sources. We're not getting W-2 paychecks with benefits and 401k matches. We're riding market waves that can shift dramatically based on factors completely outside our control. Interest rates, housing inventory, economic conditions, regulatory changes—any of these can torpedo your income overnight. Hormozi argues that in volatile income businesses, wealth building isn't optional, it's survival. Yet we treat it like a nice-to-have that we'll get around to "once things settle down" or "after this next big deal." Things never settle down. There's always another deal, another expense, another reason to delay building actual financial security. Here's the shift Hormozi recommends: stop thinking of yourself as a high-income earner and start thinking of yourself as a business owner who happens to work in real estate. Business owners obsess over profit margins, cash reserves, and asset accumulation. Employees obsess over paychecks and spending. Which mindset describes your current approach to money?

The Wealth-Building Framework for Real Estate Professionals

Hormozi's approach to wealth building is almost offensively simple, which is probably why so few people actually do it. First, establish your actual cost of living—not your current spending, but the minimum you need to live comfortably. For most people, this number is shockingly lower than what they're currently spending. That gap between earning and actual needs? That's your wealth-building fuel. Second, automate the gap. Hormozi is fanatical about automation because he knows willpower fails. Set up automatic transfers that move money from your business account to investment accounts before you can spend it. Treat wealth building like a non-negotiable business expense, not a leftover activity you do with whatever remains at month's end. Spoiler alert: there's never anything remaining at month's end if you don't automate. Third, invest in assets that generate passive income or appreciate independent of your effort. This is where real estate professionals have a massive advantage that most completely waste. You understand property values, market trends, and deal structures better than almost anyone. Yet many agents rent their primary residence while helping clients build wealth through homeownership. Many loan officers have never purchased an investment property despite literally being experts in financing them. The irony is suffocating. We're professional wealth-builders for our clients while remaining broke ourselves. Hormozi would call this "major in your major"—use your professional expertise to build your own wealth, not just facilitate it for others. If you can analyze a deal for a client, you can analyze one for yourself. If you can secure financing for a buyer, you can secure it for your own investment property. The final piece of Hormozi's framework is patience, which might be the hardest part for real estate professionals. We're conditioned for quick wins—the closed deal, the signed contract, the funded loan. Wealth building is the opposite. It's boring, slow, and completely unglamorous. You won't get any likes on Instagram for maxing out your Roth IRA. Nobody's giving you a plaque for maintaining six months of expenses in savings. But in ten years, when the market inevitably shifts again, you'll be the one still standing while everyone else panics.

From Income Theater to Actual Wealth

The real estate industry runs on what Hormozi calls "income theater"—the performance of success rather than actual success. We've all seen it. The agent who posts every closing on social media with champagne bottles and oversized checks. The loan officer with the flashy office and designer suits. The team leader with the motivational quotes about grinding and hustling. Meanwhile, behind the scenes, they're one bad month away from financial disaster. Hormozi argues that true wealth is invisible. The wealthiest people he knows drive normal cars, live in modest homes relative to their net worth, and wouldn't stand out in a crowd. They've optimized for freedom, not appearance. They've built systems that generate money whether they work or not. They've created optionality—the ability to choose what they do rather than being forced to hustle just to maintain their lifestyle. For real estate professionals, this shift from income theater to wealth building requires confronting some uncomfortable truths. That car lease? It's not an investment, it's a depreciating liability that's bleeding your wealth-building potential. That luxury apartment in the trendy neighborhood? It's making your landlord wealthy, not you. That bottle service and fancy dinners you expense as "client entertainment"? You're not fooling anyone, especially not your future self who will desperately wish you'd invested that money instead. The good news is that real estate and mortgage professionals have income potential that most people never achieve. The bad news is that high income without wealth building just means you're broke at a higher level. Hormozi's framework offers a way out: acknowledge the difference between making money and keeping money, build systems that automate wealth accumulation, and have the discipline to delay gratification long enough to actually build something lasting. Your commission checks don't determine your financial future. What you do with them does. You can keep playing income theater and hoping the good times never end, or you can start building actual wealth that survives market shifts, rate changes, and economic uncertainty. Hormozi built multiple fortunes by choosing the latter. The question is: which will you choose?
  Want more brutally honest insights about building real wealth in real estate? Subscribe to Well That Makes Sense at WellThatMakesSense.com and get content that actually helps you keep the money you're working so hard to make. We promise less motivational fluff, more actionable truth. Your future wealthy self will thank you.  
Mortgage Today (AM) - 05/27/26 {{catlist}}
May 27, 2026
READ MORE **WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (AM) - 05/27/2026** Bonds are rallying sharply on fresh peace deal headlines from Iran, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping 2 basis points to 4.46 percent as markets price in lower energy costs and reduced geopolitical risk. UMBS 5.0 securities are up 16 basis points to 98.20, while GNMA 5.0 gained 13 basis points to 98.63 as investors fled risk assets. The market's reaction remains measured despite optimistic news about reopening the Strait of Hormuz, suggesting traders are cautious about the sustainability of any peace framework. Oil prices have collapsed nearly 6 percent on the speculation, which could help ease inflation concerns that have weighed on Federal Reserve policy expectations. Mortgage originators should note that while intraday volatility is modest, geopolitical headlines are now the primary driver of bond prices—not economic data. Refinance demand collapsed this week as rates hit their highest level since August 2025, with applications falling 18 percent as borrowers abandoned hope for better pricing. The average 30-year fixed rate climbed to 6.65 percent, making rate-and-term refinances uneconomical for most borrowers, though purchase applications held relatively steady and declined just 0.4 percent. Average purchase loan sizes hit a survey high of $473,600, indicating that smaller-balance borrowers are being priced out of the market entirely. Purchase activity remains resilient in absolute terms but the lack of refi volume is a serious headwind for lender revenue this quarter. Originators should expect refi volume to remain subdued unless rates fall materially below current levels. Luxury home sales are booming across the country as artificial intelligence-driven wealth creation funnels into high-end real estate. San Francisco luxury home pending sales surged 48 percent year-over-year with median prices reaching $6.7 million, driven by stock compensation, rising tech valuations, and generous sign-on bonuses flooding into the market. The median U.S. luxury home sale price rose 3.6 percent to $1.39 million over the past three months—more than double the 1.4 percent appreciation in non-luxury homes. Real estate professionals are calling this wealth phenomenon "AI money," reflecting the structural shift in compensation toward technology workers. For mortgage originators, this represents a distinct opportunity in the jumbo and high-balance lending space where margins remain stronger than in the mass market. The Federal Housing Finance Agency has settled an industry debate by confirming that tri-merge credit reports will remain mandatory as it transitions to VantageScore 4.0 and FICO 10T scoring models. The decision prioritizes "prudent risk management" and prevents borrowers and lenders from gaming the system through selective reporting to individual credit bureaus. While the Mortgage Bankers Association had pushed for single-file reports in limited cases to reduce costs, the CHLA and Consumer Data Industry Association backed the FHA's position on risk management grounds. This provides regulatory clarity for lenders and reduces uncertainty around compliance requirements during the scoring transition. Originators should ensure their systems and processes support tri-merge verification through the transition period. Consumer confidence dipped for the first time in three months as inflation pressures and geopolitical tensions weigh on household sentiment. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell 0.7 points to 93.1 in May, marking the lowest level since mid-2025 and reflecting persistent anxiety about rising prices and economic stability. While this decline is modest, it signals that gains in consumer mood from earlier spring months may not be sustainable if energy costs surge or Middle East tensions escalate. Mortgage origination activity is historically sensitive to consumer confidence shifts, and any material deterioration could suppress purchase intent and refinance appetite. Lenders should monitor sentiment indices closely as a leading indicator of pipeline strength in the second half of the year. Treasury auction results from yesterday's $69 billion two-year note offering came in cleanly, with the issue yielding 4.07 percent and attracting a 2.64x bid-to-cover ratio that reflected solid non-dealer demand at 88 percent. The front-end of the yield curve continues to underperform longer maturities as Fed policy expectations shift toward a more neutral stance, making 2-year bonds less attractive relative to current policy rates. Today's economic calendar includes a $70 billion five-year Treasury auction at 1 p.m. EDT, which will test investor appetite for intermediate duration bonds as yields remain elevated. MBA data released this morning confirmed weakness in mortgage applications overall, with 8.5 percent decline week-over-week driven entirely by refi weakness. The spread between mortgage rates and Treasury yields remains tight, leaving little room for portfolio compression if bond markets sell off. **Locking vs Floating** Bonds remain transfixed by geopolitical headlines and are surprisingly responsive to any peace deal optimism, regardless of news quality. The key takeaway for originators is that meaningful rallies are possible when peace becomes official, but sharp sell-offs could follow if negotiations falter or new military escalation emerges. MBS valuations have improved modestly but volatility will likely remain elevated until Iran peace talks are definitively concluded. **Today's Events** MBA Refi Index (May 22): 920.2 MBA Purchase Index (May 22): 170.4 ADP Employment Change (weekly): 42.25K 5-Year Treasury Note Auction: $70 billion **Bond Pricing** **UMBS 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | **GNMA 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | | 2 yr | 4.032 | 99.702 | -0.002 | | 3 yr | 4.078 | 98.384 | -0.007 | | 5 yr | 4.161 | 98.723 | -0.015 | | 7 yr | 4.302 | 99.691 | -0.019 | | 10 yr | 4.466 | 97.271 | -0.022 | | 30 yr | 5.003 | 96.093 | -0.008 | Market Data
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